As of April 1, 2025, will the following companies or individuals have an ownership stake in TikTok (US)?
As of April 1, 2025, will the following companies or individuals have an ownership stake in TikTok (US)?
Basic
19
Ṁ1178Apr 2
97%
Bytedance
76%
Oracle
20%
Microsoft
19%
Sequoia Capital
16%
Elon Musk
15%
Bobby Kotick
15%
Apple
13%
Meta
13%
Frank McCourt
13%
Google or Alphabet
9%
Walmart
6%
Rumble
5%
Jimmy Donaldson (MrBeast)
5%
Netflix
3%
Sam Altman
2%
Snap or Snapchat
1.9%
Kevin O'Leary
1.7%
Steve Mnuchin
1%
Amazon
The version of TikTok owned must be freely available for download by the vast majority of the US general public. If there is no such version, everything resolves NO.
In the event of a rebrand, this market will follow the successor app/website.
Resolves based on credible reporting.
There are several markets similar to this question out there, but I didn't see one that can clearly resolve YES to multiple answers (which I think is likely given its a big company).
Feel free to add companies/individuals as desired, and link news articles to prove answers.
Update 2025-21-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Date
The market resolves based on the status as of April 1, 2025, the close date.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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