Will the 2024 election have higher turnout than 2020?
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Mar 1
4%
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The 2020 election had the highest turnout in decades, but will it be even higher in 2024? Specifically, will voter turnout as a percentage of the voting eligible population exceed that of 2020?

This will resolve once I find reliable data that gives me the answer with confidence, so if early analyses show very similar voter turnout to last time, it could be a while before I can confidently say that turnout was higher or lower.

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VEP is up about 4 million from 2020, so this is even less likely than a raw count record, right?

bought Ṁ40 NO

Related market trying to predict exact rate (rate for 2020 was 67%):

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