Nate Silver vs. Allan Lichtman stock
Basic
10
Ṁ21610000
Nate Silver70%
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Never resolves. Trade based on sentiment.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Nate Silver create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
48% chance
Risky Business (Nate Silver & Maria Konnikova podcast) prop bets
Will Manifold think Nate Silver had a bad take before the end of 2024?
49% chance
Will Nate Silver win the third contest? Manifold will decide the answer. Manifold will decide the best funniest answer,
Will Nate Silver place a bet on Manifold before the election?
2% chance
Will Nate Silver predict the election better than 538, according to a statistical analysis such as a Brier score?
90% chance
Will Nate Silver out-predict his forecast in the 2026 elections?
36% chance
Will Nate Silver "Sell or license his 2024 election model to a third-party media company"?
5% chance
Will Nate Silver be involved in a major scandal in 2024?
16% chance