At least 10,000 North Korean soldiers deployed in the Russia/Ukraine war by Oct 2025
Basic
27
Ṁ36612025
70%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a reputable source (in my subjective judgement) reports that 10,000 or more North Korean soldiers are deployed in active military action (not training, not logistics) by Oct 30th 2025
Since this will most likely not have perfect information to resolve, I reserve the right to resolve 50%, N/A in edge cases. I won't trade in this market.
https://x.com/powerfultakes/status/1844854829681872902
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
bought Ṁ105 YES
Deployed under NK?
bought Ṁ223 YES from 33% to 89%
Related questions
Related questions
Will any North Korean soldier defect after being deployed in Ukraine by 2026?
88% chance
Will South Korea announce the direct provision of military equipment to Ukraine by June 30, 2025?
85% chance
Will Russia mobilize at least 100k more soldiers before the end of 2024?
7% chance
Will the Russia Ukraine war conclude by 2025
4% chance
Will the Russian Ukraine war ends before 2025?
4% chance
Will at least 20 NK soldiers surrender to Ukraine before the end of January 2025
54% chance
Which NATO countries will officially send soldiers to fight in Ukraine before the end of 2025?
Will the first confirmed capture of a North Korean soldier by Ukrainian forces occur before the end of 2024?
9% chance
Will North Korea send troops to Ukraine to help Russia before 2025?
15% chance
North Korean troops in Ukraine by mid 2025
56% chance