HB 1240 has been delivered to the governor to be signed and will likely be signed into law by the governor soon. Throughout the legislative process, many legislators have insisted that it is a waste of time because it is clearly unconstitutional.

Will the courts agree with these legislators?

Market will resolve yes if the court rules the law unconstitutional. If only part of the bill is ruled unconstitutional, but enough of the law remains that an AR-15 is not legally purchasable within Washington, I will not consider the law to have been struck down.

This market will resolve No if either no challenge is brought to the law by the end of this year or if after all appeals are exhausted (either after a Supreme Court decision has been made, the Supreme Court decides not to hear the case, or if the decision by a lower court is not appealed to the Supreme Court) enough of the law remains in place that an AR-15 is not legally purchasable within Washington.

In the unlikely case that the Governor vetos the bill or weakens it enought to allow an AR-15 to be purchased in WA, market will resolve N/A.

If a challenge is brought but not resolved by the end of the year, I'll extend the closing date of this market.