Yes = Buy
No = Short
This is a permanent market and its duration will be lengthened as long as it's allowed. The aim is to sell your stock (see top right after you've made a bet) when you believe your side has over-corrected and buy-in/short it again once it's over-corrected to the other side. Essentially, it's meant to function like a traditional stock market.
Read more: https://help.manifold.markets/manifold-101/why-would-you-sell-your-
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Note: This will last until it either happens or it doesn't ill keep updating it until it either does or doesn't happen.
Dec 11, 2:47pm: Will Destiny Reach Diamond In League Of Legends → Will Destiny Reach Diamond In League Of Legends (Permanent)
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3.00So how exactly does this work? If I short this and he doesn't get diamond, do I gain back tokens in the long run? Or is this purely based on the speculation of other people? Because I am very confident that he does not attain diamond again, but if the market is hopiuming that would mean I get nothing right?
Tiny was diamond 1 in the past (when the game was much different) and has been diamond a few times since then. Considering this doesn't resolve no it may be a pretty safe bet if you don't mind funds being tied up. At the very least you might make a tiny bit selling when he inevitably gets to plat 2-1 again.
@Brooke With loans, any money invested comes back to you after about six months, so there’s no cost difference between investing in a market that ends in six months and a permanent market.
@Gabrielle Yes, although for newer users without much to invest you can make mana much more quickly with investments in markets that resolve soon if you are confident.