Trump tries to fire Powell before September 1?
14
Ṁ3328
Sep 1
9%
chance

Resolves YES if Trump announces he's firing Jerome Powell as Fed chair, or otherwise makes an attempt to fire before Sept 1.

Resolves NO if he makes no public attempt before then.

This market is not contingent on whether the attempt is successful.

In the edge case where Powell resigns without Trump attempting to fire him, this market will N/A.

A public announcement of Powell's imminent removal is enough to resolve this YES even if Trump does not take any further action.

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Before Sep 1 2025, or before May 2026?

@diracdeltafunk Sept 1! lol sorry for the confusion, I edited the description

Thank you to @Marnix who I shamelessly stole resolution criteria from

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