Will a company from a NATO country build a tank in Ukraine by 2026?
Basic
7
Ṁ2142025
72%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
There are reports that the German defense company Rheinmetall is negotiating the construction of a tank factory within Ukraine. It is reported to have received a go-ahead from German authorities for a joint venture with a Ukrainan company; the plan is said to be repairs first and production in Ukraine later on, possible of Fuchs APCs or Panther MBTs.
This market resolves yes if Rheinmetall or any other company from a NATO country is reported by credible sources to have produced a military vehicle in Ukraine by the end of 2025. The vehicle has to be intended for active combat use, so e.g. battle tanks or armored personnell carriers, but not ambulances or military trucks.
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will NATO approve $100B to Ukraine by the end of 2024?
44% chance
Will a NATO member send troops to Ukraine before 2026?
32% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO by 2033?
39% chance
Will Russia field Chinese main battle tanks in Ukraine before 2025?
11% chance
Will Ukraine join NATO by 2030?
26% chance
Will the EU produce at least 1 Million 155mm artillery shells for Ukraine during 2024?
13% chance
Will Ukraine be an official member of NATO by 2025?
3% chance
Will Ukraine be extended an official invitation to join NATO before 2026?
22% chance
Will the Ukrainians get the German Taurus cruise missile before the end of 2024?
1% chance
Will regular NATO member-state troops participate in active combat in Ukraine by EOY 2024
11% chance