Photons/electricity seem to clearly meet the criteria and have been collected/utilized for decades.

@Adam

@Adam Don't forget Solar Sails!

My guess is the creator is unlikely to resolve based on something that was used before the question was created.

@Adam Below in the comments I've written that just energy and momentum are not enough. I'll add it into the description.

@OlegEterevsky Good idea! Thanks for taking good care of your market!

So close but they don't state explicitly that they ate it. One researcher says it's edible but I think it's just referring to the general plant.

No option for after 2030? The requirement that the output needs to be used is imo pretty unlikely in that time.

@Morgan Seems that the most likely way for any of these years to resolve YES would be if an Artemis 3 astronaut drinks moon water.

@jks Haha, you're probably right. But even if Artemis 3 happens in 2030 or before, there's no way anyone is drinking moon water on the first human moon landing in >50years.

I'm a bit skeptical there will be a human moon landing before 2030. Artemis 3 is NET 2026 and already might not include a landing. I bet it gets delays ~2 years.

@Morgan Yikes, I hadn't heard they might forgo landing. Surprisingly, there's a market for Artemis 3 being a crewed landing or not, but there isn't a market for which year Artemis 3 will launch.

@Morgan "After 2030" is NO for "in 2030 or earlier", so 47% right now. I'll add more options for specific years if the market gets popular. Right now it's a bit noisy, so I doubt it makes sense.

Very small scale proof of concepts count?

@Thomas42 Yes, but it has to be used. Otherwise this market would've already been resolved thanks to MOXIE.

So, for example, producing half a liter of methane and oxygen on Mars and using it to launch a tiny sounding rocket is 👍.

@OlegEterevsky How about some sort of magnetic sail systems (not sure if there have been actual cases yet) which use ions from extraterrestrial plasma as a sort of propellant?

@Thomas42 Nah, just energy/momentum transfer is not enough. There have been solar panels for decades and I think there was a functional demonstration of solar sail already.

What about MOXIE? It generated 122 grams of oxygen.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mars_Oxygen_ISRU_Experiment

Wait, I see the criteria now. MOXIE doesn't meet #3, correct?

@jks Yep, exactly. It's very close to what I have in mind, except that the resource has to be used for its intended purpose.

Does the product have to return to Earth or be used on Earth?

@Snarflak Nope, it could be used in space as well. I'll add a clarification on what I mean by "use".