When will SpaceX first reuse Starship 2nd stage?
➕
Plus
10
Ṁ3396
2026
3%
Before 2025-01-01
6%
Before 2025-04-01
20%
Before 2025-07-01
26%
Before 2025-08-01
37%
Before 2025-09-01
39%
Before 2025-10-01
43%
Before 2026-01-01
52%
Before 2026-04-01
58%
Before 2026-07-01
66%
Before 2026-10-01
72%
Before 2027-01-01
Resolved
NO
Before 2024-10-01

The market will resolve as soon as SpaceX manages to launch a Starship rocket, successfully lands it, and launches it for the second time. The second launch doesn't have to be fully successful, the market will resolve positively as long as the rocket leaves the pad.

I do not bet on my own questions.

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