The star Betelgeuse is a red supergiant at the distance of 600 light years from Earth. It is expected to go supernova roughly within the next 100’000 years. However in 2019-20 Betelgeuse temporarily lost more than half of its brightness, which caused some speculations that it might go supernova sooner, potentially this century.
The market resolves positively as soon as the light of Betelgeuse supernova reaches Earth.
I do not bet on my own questions.
1,000
3.00Unless the option names are misleading 'Before 2035' should be higher than 'Before 2025' and 'Before 3135' should be higher than both of those, since 2025 is before 2035. The market type is independent, so I assume that this is intentional and if 'Before 2025' resolves Yes then so would everything else.
@AnttiRasinen If this is correct, you'd be strictly better off selling some 2025 shares to buy 2035.