If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will they end the filibuster by the midterm election?
If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will they end the filibuster by the midterm election?
Basic
9
Ṁ2272026
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question will resolve YES if the GOP wins the House, Senate and Presidency, and the filibuster ends by the 2026 midterm election. The question will resolve N/A if the GOP does not win a trifecta. The filibuster being reformed, but not removed will NOT resolve YES.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
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