Will a nonhuman win a Nobel Prize by 2100?
➕
Plus
32
Ṁ1080
2100
46%
chance

Will anyone or anything that is not human (i.e. biologically a member of the human species) win any Nobel Prize by the end of 2099?

  • Any nonhuman animal or extraterrestrial being or AI system or deity

  • Corporations or other organizations created by, run by, or made up of human beings do not count.

  • Any Nobel Prize:

  • Resolves YES as soon as the prize is announced.

  • Resolves NO if, by market close, no nonhuman being is known to have received a Nobel prize in any category or if and when Nobel Prizes permanently cease being awarded before market close.

I will trade in this market if I find it mispriced.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
reposted

Two Nobel prizes for AI research. Getting closer!

Isn't a group ou Organization something "nonhuman"?

predictedNO

@RuiRodrigues It’s made of human beings. My description says: Any nonhuman animal or extraterrestrial being or AI system or deity. No one would say a football team is nonhuman. That’s neither here nor there.

arbitraged

@astyerche With? How?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules