Will Proud Boys, Three Percenters, or members of similar far-right groups kill at least 10 people in the US in 2025?
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Ṁ315
2026
37%
chance

Resolves YES iff major media sources report, during calendar year 2025, at least 10 people killed in the US where the killers are active members of groups similar to the Proud Boys or Three Percenters.

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bought Ṁ10 NO

Do we know how many they killed in previous years? How similar do the groups need to be? Do even more extreme groups like Atomwaffen count?

@TheAllMemeingEye Atomwaffen, Identity Evropa etc definitely count. Otherwise similarity is a judgement call. I don't know how many they killed in prior years.

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