Will faithless electors change a US Presidential election outcome in the 21st century?
Plus
16
Ṁ5102100
37%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Includes causing a contingent election in the House even if the ultimate outcome doesn't change.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00
Related questions
Related questions
[ACX 2024] Will there be faithless electors in the 2024 US Presidential election?
39% chance
In the 2024 US presidential election, will there be at least one faithless elector?
38% chance
Will there be any unfaithful electors in 2024?
32% chance
Will faithless electors change the result of the 2024 election?
1% chance
How many faithless electors will there be in the 2024 US Presidential election?
Will there be 5 or more faithless electors in the 2024 US presidential election?
8% chance
If there are faithless electors in the 2024 election, who will they vote for?
Will a US local election official refuse to certify any state or federal election results in 2024?
44% chance
Will Kennedy win any electoral college votes in the 2024 US election, including faithless electors?
5% chance
Will an elector from Washington, D.C. vote for a Republican President in the 21st century?
28% chance