Please please please do this. If the election season comes and goes without useful conditional markets (which we currently don't really have and are unable to make), it will such a massive missed opportunity. If for no other reason then it would be the perfect opportunity to find out exactly how useful conditional markets can be

@Tumbles Oh, does something special need to be done for that beyond "resolves N/A if <not Condition>"?

@makoyass Right now if you bet on a conditional market there is good chance it will resolve NA. If it resolves NA, you get no profit, just your mana returned back. This means it's very unprofitable to tie your mana up in conditional markets.

For example, let's say you are 100% sure a conditional market won't resolve NO, but it's 80% likely to resolve NA. It's probably not worth it to bet on it even though you're super sure, when you could bet on things you're less sure about that will be more likely to actually resolve YES/NO.

The fix is that Manifold needs to loan people mana proportionally according to how likely the conditional market is to resolve NA. So if you bet on a conditional market that is 80% likely to resolve NA, 80% of your investment is returned back to you within a day as a 0% loan.