The % of people who will think top AI firms are racing in 2026 (Resolves to Yes/Probably on poll)
Basic
9
Ṁ1152026
62%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Are top AI firms currently racing?
Yes Probably Probably Not No
To my twitter @nathanpmyoung
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will any of these 7 markets about game-playing AI resolve YES in 2025?
67% chance
What will be the top 3 AI labs in 2025?
In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?
40% chance
At the beginning of 2026, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
66% chance
Will >60% of EAs believe that "Pause AI" protests have been net positive in Q4 2025?
50% chance
Will AI be considered safe in 2030? (resolves to poll)
72% chance
Will American opinion of AI improve in 2025, according to Gallup?
59% chance
At the beginning of 2027, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
69% chance
At the beginning of 2028, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
67% chance
When will manifold users think we have AGI? [Resolves to a majority yes in poll]