Will a sex scandal negatively affect the reputation of AI xrisk in the next five years?
Plus
55
Ṁ27212028
69%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I'm specifically asking about a prominent AI researcher (or someone similar) engaging in some problematic sexual activity. Must be publicized in a major news outlet. Resolves subjectively, though I'll avoid betting in the market myself.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will xAI AI be a Major AI Lab by 2025?
47% chance
In January 2026, how publicly salient will AI deepfakes/media be, vs AI labor impact, vs AI catastrophic risks?
If someone commits anti-AI-xrisk terrorism, will AI xrisk worries be generally marginalized afterwards?
32% chance
Will AI xrisk seem to be handled seriously by the end of 2026?
26% chance
By end of 2028, will AI be considered a bigger x risk than climate change by the general US population?
50% chance
Will there be another EA reputational crisis before 2028?
79% chance
Will OpenAI be involved in a major scandal before 2025?
11% chance
Multi year market: Will AI be as big a political issue as abortion?
In 2050, will the general consensus among experts be that the concern over AI risk in the 2020s was justified?
72% chance
Will EITHER US AI regulation or AI misuse (by user) cause significant crash/decline in a tech (AI) stock price in 2024?
18% chance