How many orbital launch attempts will we see in 2025 around the world? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
Plus
3
Ṁ4712026
11%
261 or less
33%
262-280
30%
281-300
26%
301+
(There were 261 orbital launch attempts in 2024)
This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.
If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.
See the full list of markets at https://manifold.markets/news/everyday-astronaut-2025-predictions
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
How many successful SpaceX launches in April 2025 UTC
Will there be 25 or more people in space orbiting earth at the end of 2026?
25% chance
Will a new European launch provider reach orbit in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
How many times will SpaceX launch Starship in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
How many times will SpaceX launch their Falcon 9 / Falcon Heavy in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
How many crewed launches will Boeing's Starliner have in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
How many Starship launches will occur in 2025?
How many astronauts of each nationality will be in space at the start of 2026?
How many SpaceX Starship launches will there be in 2025?
Which of these rockets will reach orbit in 2025?