When will "Mistral-medium" weights be available?
When will "Mistral-medium" weights be available?
Plus
17
Ṁ9732026
3%
December 2023
5%
[Later than December 2025]
36%
January 2024
5%
February 2024
50%
https://mistral.ai/news/la-plateforme/
Add options in the format "Month Year". Resolves to the month a variant of the Mistral-medium prototype model has weights available for download.
Variant means that Mistral claims it to be derived from Mistral-medium.
If not released by December 2025 or if no downloadable models can clearly have their training ancestry traced to Mistral-medium, resolves to "[Later than December 2025]".
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Quantized and leaked weights would count, but Mistral must claim the leak to be derived from Mistral medium.
We do have a statement from the CEO of Mistral, but no claim that it is related to Mistral medium. If later they make such a claim, it can still resolve January even once January has long passed.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00