Will Y Combinator accept fewer companies into its accelerator between 2028-2030 than between 2020-2022?
Plus
23
Ṁ7732031
54%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Years are inclusive. Will use what public data is available; may estimate and then use probabilities if Y Combinator becomes less transparent as an organization between now and then.
If Y Combinator stops accepting companies into its accelerator entirely or goes out of business this question will continue to resolve according to a literal reading of the title, as opposed to N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
bought Ṁ50 YES
ya because timelines lol
hesitant yes: if ai goes well, it's quite plausible there would still be lots of firms getting big grants. though, I suspect the contracts the firms sign would be structured rather differently, and maybe YC doesn't need to exist at all because a fundamentally more efficient investment system can be designed or something.
Related questions
Related questions
Will 2022 Atlas Fellows launch startups worth >$100 million by the end of 2024?
83% chance
Will Y Combinator still exist in its current form by 2030?
90% chance
There will be more early stage VC rounds done in 2024 than in 2023
38% chance
Will Sam Altman start a new company before 2025?
7% chance
Who will be the next CEO of Y Combinator?
What will be the percentage of inactive W20-S23 YCombinator startups at the end of 2025?
14
Will more than 15 percent of the thiel fellowship 2025 be hardware startups
47% chance
>10% of companies (>12 months old) from AIM's Founding to Give get into YC before EOY 2030?
28% chance
Any company from AIM's Founding to Give's first batch get into YC before EOY 2027?
65% chance
Will a startup which later joins ycombinator be started by at least two people who first meet at Manifest 2023, thru '25
16% chance