The bet will be considered POSITIVE if:

1. Ukrainian armed forces succeed in downing, severely damaging, or disabling the functioning of all confirmed Russian Aerospace Forces A-50 aircraft through kinetic military action by December 31st, 2025 (as of 24.02.24 3 out of 7 in order in RUAF, 2 down by UAF in 2024).

2. This is verified by photographic or video documentation from journalistic, observer, or military personnel on the ground or providing secondary confirmation of the specific aircraft tail number targeted.

The bet will be considered NEGATIVE if:

1. At least 3 Russian A-50 aircraft are not confirmed as downed or damaged beyond repair by Ukrainian forces prior to the December 31st, 2025 deadline.

2. Claims of additional A-50 aircraft disabled are made but not independently verified with confirmation.

Any claims which emerge still requiring verification, or incidents with inconclusive proof of aircraft type targeted will result in a N/A outcome after the 31st December 2025.