Will Harvard Admit a Class that is More than 63% White by 2028?
Will Harvard Admit a Class that is More than 63% White by 2028?
Plus
27
Ṁ9832028
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If any Harvard College (undergraduate) class up to and including the class of 2032 (admitted in the fall of 2028) is more than 62.9% White, this market resolves yes.
Methodology: the Crimson publishes demographics of each admitted class that remains searchable. From the class of 2017 to 2025 this figure has ranged from 62.1% (2018) to 46.0% (2022). See e.g. https://features.thecrimson.com/2014/freshman-survey/makeup/
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will Harvard Admit a Class that is Less than 10% Black by 2028?
43% chance
Will Harvard Admit a Class that is Less than 10% Hispanic by 2028?
64% chance
Will Black Students Be Less Than 10% of the Ivy League Class of 2028?
37% chance
Will Harvard be known to have applied race conscious admissions criteria between the 2023-2024 AY and 2028?
82% chance
What % Asian will the Harvard class of 2028 be?
37% chance
Will Harvard end legacy admissions by 2025?
5% chance
What will be the racial/ethnic makeup of the Ivy League class of 2028 following the affirmative action ban?
Harvard University’s freshman class size increases by at least 25% before 2026.
17% chance
[Metaculus] Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?
36% chance
Will legacy admissions be abolished at any Ivy League college before 2030?
40% chance