Will the US admit more than 2 million immigrants in any year before 2030?
Will the US admit more than 2 million immigrants in any year before 2030?
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4
Ṁ992029
44%
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The resolution source will be the DHS Yearbook of Immigration Statistics for the year 2029. I am specifically going to look at the number of people obtaining lawful permanent resident status. I will also wait for the yearbook to come out which may take a while but the relevant years are 2022-2029.
For previous years, see here:
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
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