By the end of Lula's term in office, will he have a better supporting score in the House than Bolsonaro?
Plus
11
Ṁ9702027
57%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Estadão has basômetro, a tool to measure how each representative voted with the administration orientation. For each administration, this was the track record:
Lula 1: 77%
Lula 2: 79%
Dilma 1: 75%
Dilma 2: 65%
Temer: 76%
Bolsonaro: 76%
Average: 75%
If Lula has a 77% or better "basômetro" score by the end of his current term, this market solves to YES.
https://arte.estadao.com.br/politica/basometro/index.php
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Lula still be President of Brazil on March 1st 2025? 🇧🇷🗳️
73% chance
Will Lula's government have an approval rating of 50% or higher on December 31st, 2024?
47% chance
Will Lula's 3rd term in Brazil have above-average (>75%) congressional support?
51% chance
Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
33% chance
During a 4 month period, will Lula score a 55%+ approval rating by 2 or more major pooling outlets during his current term?
74% chance
Will Lula finish his term as President of Brazil?
79% chance
Will Lula be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
55% chance
Will Lula da Silva still be alive through the end of 2024?
98% chance
Will Bolsonaro lose his political rights without being arrested?
24% chance
Will Lula be impeached?
7% chance