Bluesky's daily active users exceed 25% of X's daily active users by June 2025
Basic
6
Ṁ290Jun 1
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will Bluesky's daily active users reach at least 25% of X's daily active user count by June 1st, 2025? Currently Bluesky's daily active users are less than 10% of X's. Resolution based on comparative statistics from reliable tech industry sources.
Update 2024-12-12 (PST): The market will be resolved based on global user counts rather than US-only user counts for both Bluesky and X. (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
@traders, is it ok if I modify the question from “US users” to “users”? I think it will make it easier to resolve.
Related questions
Related questions
Bluesky active users in December 2026
-
If Manifold integrates Bluesky, how many active users will we have in 3 months?
-
How many users will Bluesky have at the end of 2026?
-
How many users will Bluesky have at the end of 2025?
Will BlueSky overtake X in active users before June 1st 2025
2% chance
Will Bluesky reach 50 million users by the end of this year?
41% chance
Will Bluesky have 50 million users by September 2025? (~triple what it is mid-November)
28% chance
Who will be the most followed user on Bluesky / Bsky at the end of 2025?
Will Bluesky have 36 million or more users at the end of 2025?
95% chance
Will Bluesky social have more monthly active users than Twitter by March 1st, 2028?
14% chance