When will Tontine pay out?
Basic
9
แน10972030
0.5%
2023
0.5%
2024
0.7%
2025
0.8%
2026
2%
2027
4%
2028
7%
2029
10%
2030
11%
2031
12%
2032
13%
2033
17%
2034
18%
2035
5%
https://tontine.cash/ is a MSCHF game. On 2021-12-27, 7141 players each paid $10 into a central pot and have been required to check in at least once a day by midnight EST/EDT or else be eliminated. The last remaining player will win the pot. As of 2023-10-03, 355 players remain.
Every year on January 1st, I will split off at least one new option from OTHER. (Edit: that is not happening. I've already put in up to 2035. If we somehow need more choices we'll burn that bridge when we get to it.) If you think the game will never pay out, you should buy YES on OTHER and put limit orders for NO on future years as shares on those come into existence and your possession. (Or you could just sell them off.)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Tontine surviving player count be 200 or less as of the indicated date?
will the elder scrolls vi release before tontine pays out?
29% chance
Tontine
How many deaths will there be in Tontine in 2024?
115
During which year will the Tontine surviving player count reach 100?
Will the Tontine surviving player count be 100 or less as of 2025-1-1?
3% chance
Will Tontine ever pay out?
88% chance
What will the maximum Tontine daily death count be for 2024?
How many days will Tontine's longest no-death streak of 2024 last?
How many deaths will there be in Tontine in 2024? (New Numeric Market Type!)