Will Buick sell 20k EVs in the US in 2030?
Will Buick sell 20k EVs in the US in 2030?
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Buick is going all-electric, but has yet to launch its first EV in the United States. The brand has been selling roughly 100k-150k gasoline vehicles each year, but almost half of its American dealerships have decided to close rather than sell EVs. In 2023, all of GM's brands combined sold only 75,000 electric vehicles. Even Doug DeMuro thinks the Buick brand will leave the US soon.
Resolves YES if General Motors reports selling at least twenty thousand new Buick-badged EVs in the United States during calendar year 2030.
Resolves NO if the number is smaller or if General Motors removes Buick as an active brand in the United States.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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