According to Argonne ANL’s monthly update, will U.S. BEV sales exceed 80,000 units in January 2026?

Resolution criteria

• Resolve YES if Argonne National Laboratory’s “Light Duty Electric Drive Vehicles Monthly Sales Updates” reports U.S. battery-electric vehicle (BEV) sales for January 2026 above 80,000 units; otherwise NO. Use the BEV figure (exclude PHEVs) for light-duty new vehicle sales (cars and light trucks ≤10,000 lbs). (anl.gov)

• Source of truth: the January 2026 “Plug-In Vehicle Sales” section on the Argonne page. If Argonne revises the figure, resolve using the latest number available at resolution time. (anl.gov)

• Fallback (only if Argonne has not published by March 15, 2026 or the page is unavailable for 72+ hours): resolve using the “Plug-In Battery Electric Vehicles (BEV) Total Sales” indicator on YCharts, which mirrors Argonne’s series. (ycharts.com)

Background

• Recent monthly BEV sales per the Argonne series: January 2024 — 82,336; December 2024 — 132,468; January 2025 — 94,333; June 2025 — 93,717 (Argonne page lists the June 2025 BEV split). (ycharts.com, anl.gov)

• Argonne notes BEVs comprise over 80% of U.S. plug-in (PEV) sales. (anl.gov)

Considerations

• Seasonality: January tends to be materially lower than December (e.g., 132,468 in Dec 2024 vs 94,333 in Jan 2025), which may affect odds of clearing 80,000. (ycharts.com)

• Methodology: Argonne compiles monthly EDV/PEV/BEV data (sourced from Wards Auto since Oct 2019) and reports U.S. light-duty sales; scope excludes medium/heavy-duty vehicles. (anl.gov)