Will Hamas control >50% of Gaza at the end of 2024? | Manifold

Will Hamas control >50% of Gaza at the end of 2024?

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resolved Sep 29

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NO

1D

1W

1M

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Based on the most reputable maps of territorial control if the conflict is ongoing.

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#🇮🇱 Israel

#🇮🇱🇵🇸 Israel-Hamas Conflict

#Arab-Israeli Conflict

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@traders you're welcome to supply evidence for yes, but seems like no by default and gpt-5 agrees with a no resolution

@mods I think this should resolve N/A

@realDonaldTrump Why? What makes it not applicable?

@EvanDaniel it’s just way passed the resolution date.

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