This market predicts whether the S&P 500 index will close above 4,500 points on July 31, 2025. The S&P 500 is a stock market index tracking the performance of 500 large companies listed on stock exchanges in the United States. Resolution will be based on the official closing value reported by MarketWatch on that date.
1,000
3.00Given that the S&P 500 is currently at 6,259, there’s virtually a 100% chance it will close above 4,500 on July 31, 2025. The index would need to drop more than 28% in just over two weeks for that not to happen.
If it does, the losses sustained on this market will be the least of your worries.
@Velaris I assume this market was created because of the recent tariff-related drawdown, where markets did decrease very rapidly. However, the selloff then was only 19% in 2 months. For this to resolve NO, the drawdown would need to be much more rapid and severe than the previous one, I have bet it up to 90% accordingly
@SaviorofPlant I agree completely. I would have bet more but I don't like dumping all my balance into one market.
@Judge You raise an important point, but I think that it's a mistake to believe that all eight billion are incapable of fulfilling the requirements of being human as you put it.
Only most of them, who knows if I am among them.
I think that they fufill the requirements of being humain completely, after all, they are the majority. Humans are driven most often by greed, it is those who aren't who are inhuman.
The word human is often used to represent an ideal, but the species it represents are far from it.
Creatures are far better then humans on average, they can't do as much harm.