When will Trump turn on Elon?
Basic
24
Ṁ4352026
1.6%
pre inauguration
4%
Q1 2025
13%
Q2 2025
12%
Q3 2025
17%
Q4 2025
53%
They stay buds through 2025
I determine the vibe shift--my threshold will be roughly when Trump starts belittling him in public on at least 3 occasions. My assumption is that the split will be obvious and dramatic and I won't count anything that isn't.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump publicly disparage Musk within a year of the election?
28% chance
Will Musk still be on good terms with Trump at the end of 2025?
66% chance
When will Trump and Elon “break up” / have a serious public falling out?
When will Elon Musk no longer play a significant role in the Trump Administration?
Will Elon Musk cease to be an advisor to Donald Trump and face public criticism from Donald Trump before 2026?
30% chance
Will Elon Musk regret endorsing Trump, if Trump becomes president
22% chance
If Trump wins the election, will he appoint Elon Musk to a federal government position by the end of 2025?
63% chance
Will Elon & Trump have a major falling out by EoY 2025?
19% chance
Elon Musk hooks up with a Trump
7% chance
any DOGE boy turns on Elon or Trump by end of 2025?
66% chance