Will an alien "wipe out" a human before 2100 (read desc.)
Basic
2
Ṁ110
2100
9%
chance

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This market resolves to YES if an alien "wipes out" a human that's skateboarding, surfing, or snowboarding on or before December 31, 2099. Otherwise, this market resolves to NO on January 1, 2100.

More specifically, this market resolves to YES if:

  • The alien pushes/bumps/etc. a human off of a skateboard in such a way that he/her crashes onto the ground

  • The alien pushes/bumps/etc. a human off a surfboard making them fall off it.

  • The alien pushes/bumps/etc. a human off a snow board making them fall,crash,etc.

If the crash looks like it would make a mid-1990s Totally Rad sports announcer go "oooh, wipeout!" in a faux-pained voice, it's probably sufficient for a YES resolution.

Edit: I should also note that this market does not require the alien to be sentient/conscious/an AGI or superintelligence/etc. The "wipe out" must have occurred after market creation (so on or after July 12th, 2023.)


definition of alien: Life not derived from Earth life.

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"definition of alien: Life not derived from Earth life."

Oof, I hoped someone not a citizen of the country where the wiping out happens would have sufficed

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