How much time will Trump serve in jail/prison/house-arrest?
Plus
16
Ṁ12012046
69%
<1 year
11%
1-2 years
7%
2-5 years
6%
5-10 years
5%
10-20 years
2%
20+ years
Including pretrial detention. For each interval the first number is inclusive and the second number is exclusive. Resolves whenever Trump is either dead or a free man (not just out on bail).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
When will Trump serve time?
Will Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?
10% chance
How will Trump serve time?
Will Trump spend any time in prison before he dies?
15% chance
Will Trump spend any time in jail by the end of 2024?
1% chance
Will Trump do time?
7% chance
If Trump is imprisoned before 2030, will he serve house arrest but NOT prison time?
70% chance
Will Donald Trump serve any prison sentence before 2030?
18% chance
Will Donald Trump spend any time in prison before 2030?
23% chance
Will Donald Trump serve time under House Arrest before 2027?
16% chance