health dashboard displaying lots of relevant weightlifting data: https://joel-becker.shinyapps.io/life-dashboard/
notes on the goals:
i haven't tracked food whatsoever for ~1.5 years
i have weightlifted >=3 times per week for the last 5 weeks of 2023 but mostly didn't achieve that over the past ~1.5 years
according to the old health dashboard, the lowest weight i've been in past couple of years is ~79.8lb.
"1RM-equivalent" will be calculated using the formula
weight * (1 + (reps / 30)), notweight * (1 + (reps / 25))as on the current dashboard.bench press all-time 1RM-equivalent 252lb, past 30 days 224lb.
overhead press all-time 1RM-equivalent 139lb, past 30 days 101lb.
chin-up all-time 1RM-equivalent 265lb, past 30 days 229lb. (uses body weight + any additional attached weight.)
bent-over row (overhand or underhand) all-time 1RM-equivalent 202lb, past 30 days 167lb.
squat all-time 1RM-equivalent 246lb, past 30 days 195lb.
romanian deadlift all-time 1RM-equivalent 342lb, past 30 days 209lb.
did probably ~5 cardio sessions (rowing, running, swimming, etc., not hiking) excluding soccer in 2023.
played soccer probably ~15 times in 2023.
flossed >=3 days per week probably ~0 weeks in 2023.
"adderall-equivalent" to be defined exactly later, but it will probably take 40mg vyvanse or 150mg modafinil to be equivalent to 15mg adderall. i've taken <=50mg adderall-equivalent on probably ~0 weeks in 2023.
notes on the market:
i will be participating.
i might add more goals later.
1,000
3.00Setting health goals requires strong willpower and dedication. Whether you're aiming for weight loss, improved fitness, physical therapy Studio City or better mental well-being, clear, achievable goals provide direction and motivation. Consistency is key—small, gradual changes in your daily routine, such as regular exercise and a balanced diet, can lead to significant improvements over time, helping you achieve long-term wellness and vitality.
It seems to me somewhat problematic that you would buy NO shares for any of the events. If someone were more interested in mana than a particular outcome (not saying *you* are, just generally), they could force a NO resolution by simply not trying (or lying about having failed, or faking a failed proof, etc.).
Also, for those outcomes that you're betting YES on, will you provide some form of proof of a YES outcome (videos of lifts, at least; unsure of what would qualify as proof for the soccer and Adderall outcomes)?
@NBAP I agree that not trying is a thing I could do. The lying/faking thing is also possible, but significantly harder. I currently have a track record of 4 years of tracking this kind of thing; it feels extremely against my interest to fake data.
Proof would be "you can see that I did this on the linked dashboard." (There's a public github repo with the code, so you can not-verifiably-but-still-sorta see that the dashboard honestly reports inputted health data.)