Will Iran test fire a nuclear weapon before 2026?
Basic
15
Ṁ6202027
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES for the first test that takes place during the market open and close dates.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?
28% chance
Will Iran announce by June 4 that it has developed a nuclear weapons capability?
9% chance
Will Iran possess a nuclear weapon before 2026?
12% chance
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
14% chance
Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2025?
11% chance
Will Iran nuke Israel before the end of 2025?
2% chance
Will Israel use nuclear weapons against an adversary before 2026?
2% chance
Will Iran attack Saudi Arabia before 2026?
15% chance
Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
35% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2040?
38% chance