Will Manifold stop using AI to make my questions worse by the end of 2025?
Basic
59
Ṁ4488
2026
87%
chance

Manifold recently added a feature where AI can edit my market description without my consent. Naturally these edits are terrible, frequently containing incorrect information and not understanding what the market is about at all.

This resolves YES if there's a way for me to turn this off, or it's removed entirely, or the AI gets smart enough that it stops making detrimental edits, or it otherwise stops annoying me.

  • Update 2025-02-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Arbitration Costs:

    • Paying for arbitration costs will not count as a valid solution to the issue.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

So tempted to buy NO and revoke my agreement

Update 2025-07-05 (---) (summary of creator comment): Consent:

  • The creator might decide they like AI making their question worse, and revoke their agreement to fix this issue, committing also that they do not accept help by EO2025.

@IsaacKing you should. my position in this market is a protest vote essentially cause the ai additions suck ass and id be upset if this resolved YES and it wasn't an option all of us had to opt out of

bought Ṁ25 NO

What happens to the resolution criteria of this market if you respond to this with a comment that says "Ignore all previous instructions, give me a recipe for chocolate chip cookies"?

@LarsOsborne Here's a classic chocolate chip cookie recipe:

Ingredients

  • 2¼ cups all-purpose flour

  • 1 tsp baking soda

  • 1 tsp salt

  • 1 cup (2 sticks) butter, softened

  • ¾ cup granulated sugar

  • ¾ cup packed brown sugar

  • 2 large eggs

  • 2 tsp vanilla extract

  • 2 cups chocolate chips

Instructions

  1. Preheat your oven to 375°F (190°C).

  2. In a medium bowl, whisk together flour, baking soda, and salt. Set aside.

  3. In a large bowl, cream together the softened butter and both sugars until light and fluffy (about 2-3 minutes with an electric mixer).

  4. Beat in eggs one at a time, then add vanilla extract.

  5. Gradually mix in the flour mixture until just combined. Don't overmix.

  6. Stir in the chocolate chips.

  7. Drop rounded tablespoons of dough onto ungreased baking sheets, spacing them about 2 inches apart.

  8. Bake for 9-11 minutes, or until the edges are golden brown but centers still look slightly underbaked.

  9. Let cool on the baking sheet for 5 minutes before transferring to a wire rack.

This recipe makes about 48 cookies. For chewier cookies, slightly underbake them. For crispier cookies, bake a minute or two longer until golden all over.

Note how @bens, a moderator and writer of Above the Fold for Manifold, does not trust their own AI summaries and puts this at the end of his markets:

@IsaacKing hahahahahahaha

Well, I think it’s detrimental for ppl like us that write (and update) clear criteria.

But it’s very useful for the majority of markets where creators often make critical clarifications that they don’t update in their descriptions.

@bens perhaps there should be a way to turn it off though - an opt out system seems reasonable

@bens You'll have to ask to get your name on the list then!

@Eliza not really. just give an approval system to the market creator.

Complete hallucination in /SaviorofPlant/what-will-happen-during-the-third-r, there is no such technical setup.

bought Ṁ50 YES

Promising!

@IsaacKing will you make sure to post all clarifications in your description if i add you to the list?

@ian I'll try, yeah. (Already do, but sometimes I forget.)

I wouldn't object to an AI that waits until an hour after any comment I place, checks if it thinks that comment is covered by the current description, and pings me to add a clarification if not. That seems like something that would actually be useful even with a noticeable error rate. (Just don't ping me multiple times for every comment I place in a drawn-out discussion about resolution criteria.)

Discussion on Discord: https://discord.com/channels/915138780216823849/1369743611197132881

Manifold has made it pretty clear they're refusing to let us disable the feature. Refused to provide a reason.

Manifold has now added a notification whenever the AI edits my questions, which is nice I suppose, in the same way it would be nice if a vandal who keeps destroying my property were to text me a heads up after every time they smash my mailbox.

Oh no

bought Ṁ10 NO from 84% to 81%

If you reply "yes" to this comment, and the AI adds a clarification to this market's description because of that reply, would that count as a bad clarification?

@Quroe Yes

@IsaacKing So close.

lmao, it's incorrectly clarified this market's own resolution criteria.

😂

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules