White Lotus Season 3 [Mega independent]
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Plus
123
Ṁ180k
Dec 31
1%
someone says "I am your father"
45%
We will see Frank in S4 of White Lotus
84%
We will see any character from S3 in S4 of White Lotus
88%
Tim Ratliff accidentally kills or injures a member of his family
99%
Tim Ratliff attempts to kill a member of his family
1%
Exactly 3 of the people dead
1%
Rick has a dream/flashback about the Chelsea
99.2%
Someone seems dead, but turns out not to be
0.9%
Only one person dies in the finale
99%
season 3 finale has the longest runtime out of all season finales
1%
Someone related to the original Greg/Gary-Tanya murder plot dies
1%
A hotel employee dies
1%
Someone from the girls trip dies
1%
Someone from the Ratliff family dies
99%
At least one death is accidental
99.1%
Poison is consumed by someone other than the poisoner's intended victim (or poisoning is completely accidental)
1%
Zion gets into an altercation with someone, or tries to physically protect someone else
99.1%
two people present at the White Lotus confirmed dead at the end of the finale
1%
A member of the Ratliff family finds out about the handy
1%
Frank overdoses

What will happen in the third season of the HBO series White Lotus?

(To start betting on season 4 already, use this market.)

  • Update 2025-03-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Important criteria for resolution:

    • The event must involve physical interaction (not merely a kiss) with an immediate family member

    • The interaction must be a result of sexual attraction

  • Update 2025-03-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Full Frontal Male Nudity Clarification

    • The outcome is determined by whether the male genital is shown in its entirety.

    • The presence or absence of outer thighs is not relevant.

  • Update 2025-03-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Adultery Clarification:

    • Relationship Inclusion: Acts of adultery qualify if the individuals are in a relationship, not only in a legal marriage.

    • Examples: This clarification explicitly covers cases involving characters such as Jaclyn, Chloe, Chelsea, and their respective male counterparts.

  • Update 2025-03-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Electronics Theft Clarification:

    • The act must be committed in the spirit of stealing/breaking in (i.e. it is not enough if the subject only hides the act from their family).

    • If a family member is clearly present (as with Pam) during the act, it does not satisfy the intended criteria for covert removal.

  • Update 2025-03-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Handjob Clarification:

    • A handjob does not qualify as intercourse.

    • Only full sexual intercourse is considered toward meeting the outcome criteria.

  • Update 2025-03-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Named Characters Clarification:

    • Named characters are those whose names are mentioned explicitly during dialogue or who are central to the story.

    • Peripheral characters (e.g., bodyguards) do not count unless their names are referenced in the narrative.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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@shankypanky SPOILER ALERT if you haven’t watched yet…..I’m curious to hear what your opinion is on this question? I would argue YES because Tim brought the poison seeds into the house and used the blender to make drinks in an attempt to murder his family while committing suicide in the process. However; he had a change of heart and disposed of the drinks but forgot about the blender which Lochlan uses the leftovers in the morning to make a protein drink leading him to collapse by the pool and almost dying.

bought Ṁ50 YES

@ReeMARKable lol spoiler alerts don't work when push notifications contain the whole message 😂 (there's a "spoiler" option for text btw - not sure if they fixed the issue of the details showing on push notifs or not)

I would have bet it higher but I don't know how Henri will resolve, but doing a little search, I feel confident that poisoning a family member leading to vomiting, losing consciousness for some time, and even having "near death" hallucinations counts as an injury. I don't like to resolve to LLM consensus but I asked for an unbiased opinion and detailed the circumstances, and got a similar answer to my general belief here.

@shankypanky Haha oops. Thanks, I will remember that in the future.

Schrödinger's father

bought Ṁ1 YES

@Odoacre idk, looks dead to me. Also he's not in the car at the end

@Odoacre Market is for season 3, in season 3 and when this question was written, his father was alive when he was thought to be dead. This is a yes.

I'll watch and resolve on Wednesday, will be absent from this market until then.
Enjoy it while it lasts ✨

I wish it didn’t have to end tonight.

@ukaszBartoszcze @HenriThunberg Start one for season 4 and na these so we can close this market out for the season next week

@HenriThunberg Other than Rick's dad ?

bought Ṁ50 NO

@Odoacre including Rick's dad, right? On or off screen I guess, now that people have betted on it. I was originally thinking more along the lines of someone shot but Frodo-style survives it, or that the floating body in e1 actually isn't dead.

@HenriThunberg sorry but that's not very clear, in the event Rick's father is alive does this resolve yes?

@HenriThunberg thanks! 🙏

some reason this one is still open?

@shankypanky I was a bit distracted during that part so didn't have 100% confirmation.

Some great additions to this market, need to really think on them and evaluate before predicting!

bought Ṁ30 NO

@shankypanky 🤣 🤣 🤣

@shankypanky excellent call, I did not see it coming

@Odoacre 😂😂

@ukaszBartoszcze why is this so high?

@jim because she has worn a Maggie Simpson necklace (I am not joking) https://www.reddit.com/r/WhiteLotusHBO/comments/1jmf150/chloe_is_the_shooter/

bought Ṁ50 NO
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