Will the Ukrainian-Russian war be considered out of a "stalemate" between now and the end of 2024?
Plus
20
Ṁ2129Jan 1
38%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Read an article that this stalemate could last a year.
Resolves YES if minimal progress on both sides has been gained by the end of 2024.
Resolves NO if one side makes progress that could be considered to break the stalemate.
NOTE: I understand that some of the terms are subjective, but this is the media message as of 2023-11-17. If the question is deemed too ambiguous by the question close, I will default to a poll resolution with a 10k boost.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@KLiamSmith I think a cease fire would be considered a continuation of the stalemate, peace would likely be the end. I'll do some searching and maybe define it better, and it really depends on the situation (long term ceasefire vs short term)
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end before the end of 2025?
56% chance
Will the war in Ukraine end by 2026
52% chance
What will be true of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2024?
Will the Russia-Ukraine war end during 2024?
1% chance
Will the Ukraine war end by 2025?
1% chance
Will the war in Ukraine be officially over by december 2025 ?
50% chance
Will the Ukraine war be over by the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will the Russia Ukraine war end up in a stalemate without a formal peace treaty, like Korea?
64% chance
Will the Russia Ukraine conflict reach a conclusion by the end of 2024?
6% chance
Will the Russia Ukraine conflict reach a conclusion by the end of 2025?
50% chance