Will OPEC functionally dissolve by 2028?
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8
Ṁ2872029
41%
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Resolves to YES if 9 or more of the 13 current official members of OPEC either leave the organization or stop adhering to production quotas (for >1 year) by Dec. 31, 2028.
Update 2025-04-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Important Update:
No Production Quotas: If OPEC continues as an organization but no quotas are issued, that situation will be treated as equivalent to members having stopped adhering to production quotas.
Resolution Impact: This interpretation applies when determining if at least 9 of the 13 OPEC members meet the criteria for dissolving the organization.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@qumeric I'd probably lean YES on that since not having any quotas is sort of similar to "stop adhering to production quotas" in the description.
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