Will humanity produce it’s first in lab net positive fusion energy breakthrough by end 2028 ?
Plus
15
Ṁ4802028
42%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Net positive fusion energy would mean more energy out the experiment than energy in globally.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@Amaryllis Nope, this experiment does not take into account the energy used by the laser in the ratio, it count the gain starting at the output of the laser making this experiment still a overall loss of energy.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Helion provide nuclear fusion power to a data center before end of 2028?
23% chance
Will Commonwealth Fusion System's SPARC fusion reactor achieve "commercially relevant net energy from fusion" by Jan 1st, 2026?
9% chance
Who will be the leader in Fusion energy production by 2040?
Will there be a significant breakthrough in nuclear fusion technology by the end of 2030?
75% chance
When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built?
Will we have a functioning, energy-producing, nuclear fusion reactor by 2033?
27% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2038?
50% chance
Will nuclear fusion become a viable energy source before 2050?
65% chance
Will a private company demonstrate nuclear fusion net gain (>1.0 energy out vs energy in) before 12/31/2025?
16% chance
Will any fusion reactor project demonstrate engineering breakeven before the end of 2040?
74% chance