Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before GPT-5?
➕
Plus
60
Ṁ7890
2026
20%
chance

including tests

#Nathan's Dashboard
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

https://apnews.com/article/north-korea-nuclear-test-icbm-ukraine-russia-a39a36f4ff000037f96116fd6f5633fb

South Korean military says North Korea appears poised to conduct nuclear and ICBM tests
South Korea’s military intelligence agency says North Korea has likely completed preparations for its seventh nuclear test and appears to be preparing to test a long-range missile capable of reaching the United States.
bought Ṁ30 NO

AI art for this market did an interesting interpretation of "mushroom cloud"

We need to determine if this only counts a model named exactly GPT-5 or not.

predictedNO

Hell of a release party.

By "detonating" Gpt-5, is that a dramatic version of "releasing"?

Related questions

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules