Will a child or grandchild of Donald J. Trump ever be President?
Will a child or grandchild of Donald J. Trump ever be President?
Plus
19
Ṁ5822100
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@Gigacasting This is more accurate. If this happens then the norm of wearing a 20th-century business suit will also be left behind
predictedNO 2y
Congressman Barron Trump aged 45 in suit, John Singer Sargent, Official White House Portrait
predictedNO 2y
(I had to use "Congressman" because the AI really doesn't like drawing people at the wrong age, but American legislators are all really old, so that helped knock the idea into its head)
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will a son of Donald Trump become President of the USA?
13% chance
Will any of Donald Trump's children be elected to Congress, Vice President, or President of the US by 2050?
44% chance
During which election will any of Donald Trump's children run for President of the United States the soonest?
Will Barron Trump ever be elected President?
9% chance
Will Donald Trump ever be president again?
99% chance
Will Donald Trump outlive any of his children?
26% chance
Who will be the Trump political heir?
Will Ivanka Trump ever be elected President?
9% chance
Will the next person to have de facto control of the Executive Branch be Donald Trump Jr?
10% chance
Will any of Trump's children run for presidency in 2028?
27% chance