Will Trump end the Russia-Ukraine war within 24h of his inauguration?
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15
Ṁ1084Jan 20
8%
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They’re dying, Russians and Ukrainians. I want them to stop dying. And I’ll have that done — I’ll have that done in 24 hours. - Donald J. Trump
Resolution Criteria
End of War: Defined as a mutually agreed ceasefire or peace agreement signed by Ukraine and Russia.
Timeline: The agreement must be signed within 24 hours of Trump’s inauguration.
Verification: Confirmation from recognized news sources or statements from official government sources in Ukraine, Russia, and the U.S.
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This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@GazDownright it wasn't my market, I just comment with arbitrage opportunities whenever I see a big difference with prices. At the moment nothing seems crazy to me, but here's the market:
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