Will the top 1% of U.S. wealth holders control over 50% of the nation's wealth by December 31, 2025?
8
Ṁ170Dec 31
27%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As of recent reports, the top 1% of U.S. wealth holders control nearly 44% of the nation's wealth. This market seeks to predict whether this concentration will increase to over 50% by the end of 2025. Resolution will be based on official statistics from the Federal Reserve's Distributional Financial Accounts or similar authoritative sources.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
Can you clarify what source you will use to resolve the market? I am not seeing anything similar to the 44% share statistic cited above. Consider
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WFRBST01134
or
https://www.macrotrends.net/3160/us-top-1-wealth-share
Related questions
Related questions
Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world at the end of 2025?
84% chance
Who will be among the top 5 richest person in the world at the end of 2025? (According to Forbes)
Will there be a half-trillionaire by the end of 2025?
32% chance
At the beginning of 2032, will the richest person in the world have a net worth of at least 1% of US GDP?
60% chance
Who will be the richest person at the end of 2025?
Will Elon Musk be the world's richest person on December 31, 2025?
80% chance
Will the United States have the most Billionaires at the end of 2034?
90% chance
Will the US raise top capital gains tax rate to > 40%, with >15% unrealized capital gains tax, by EOY 2025?
2% chance
Will the United States pass a federal wealth tax before January 1st, 2030?
10% chance
Will my net worth surpass M$100k by EOY 2025?
16% chance