This is a market on whether Polyoptions' total trading volume in 2026 is greater than or equal to $100,000,000.00 (as rounded to the nearest penny), according to official trading volume as first reported for that period, or portion thereof, at https://polyoptions.com/.
Trading volume will be measured in notional value, which equals the USD payout value of the underlying Polymarket positions.
If total trading volume in 2026 is less than $100,000,000.00 or if no such official data is published at that site on or before January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Should Polyoptions change its name or URL, the relevant successor site will be used as the resolutions source.
Should Polyoptions merge with or be acquired by another platform prior to year-end and prior to trigerring a "Yes" resolution, such that Polyoptions' volume can not be disaggregated from that of its acquirer or merger partner, this market will resolve to “No”.
Update 2025-12-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Volume calculation example: A call option on 100 Polymarket shares that costs $2 to trade counts as $100 of volume (based on the notional value of the underlying shares, not the option premium paid).
Update 2025-12-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Polyoptions is currently on testnet with no USD trading volume yet. The platform is expected to launch in January (2025).
1,000
3.00@brod Yes. Leverage, downside protection, isolate volatility, time-specific prive movements, and vertical or calendar spreads.
Option expiry will typically be before underlying end date.
I think it’s pretty interesting. Prediction markets are betting on outcomes and options on prediction markets are betting on the speed that information about the market will become available. They also would allow for more highly leveraged bets at the expense of some theta. That said, I don’t know how much people will use them.
That said, you could perhaps replicate options with prediction-markets-on-prediction markets but there’s more possibility of manipulation in the underlying compared to options that settle in the underlying.
uhh very cool platform
how many United States Dollars (USD) have been traded on it so far
@Eliza It's less than it sounds because it's tied to notional value (meaning the value of the underlying Polymarket shares). So a call option on 100 Polymarket shares that might cost $2 to trade counts as $100 of volume.
@Eliza For reference, Polymarket itself does $0.5B-$2.5B / month for most of last year, depending on how you count and whether it's November or not.
@FlipPidot Can anyone estimate what amount of revenue the "Polyoptions" site would earn if they had "$100 million" of volume? Is that like "barely enought to get by" viability level?