Based on the "Wages of Election Modeling" Overall Performance score, as found at thesupermodel.com/p/the-wages-of-election-modeling and all comparable scoring pages on that site as of 11:59:59 pm ET on December 21, 2024.
If no forecasts are found to be profitable by that measure, this market will resolve in favor of the one to lose the least money.
1,000
3.00tiny nit (& you can of course run this market however you'd like). i find "Other" doesn't work so great in cases like this, because it's unclear what might eventually be included. so it's hard to bet YES on anything when you have to weigh the probability that they chose to include some model (with unclear specifications)—very hard to price. (which doesn't matter much if it's like, "which person will win X", because inclusion is well defined, but in this case "my buddy steve said trump @ 80% the whole time" would probably have the highest profit and there's no way to know if that will be added)