The INDEC options will resolve based on official INDEC data, based on the Year-over-Year inflation from Dec 2024 compared to Dec 2023. This will presumably be reported in the report released in Jan 2025.
See also: /EvanDaniel/will-inflation-in-argentina-be-less
I will add options for non-INDEC sources, or additional values, as requested or when they seem appropriate.
I will attempt to resolve individual questions early if YTD inflation has exceeded the target for more than 30 days and the price seems stable and in agreement with that. Exact early resolve specifications are still TBD, I'll try to get them nailed down soon. See the separate 30% market for my current candidate terms; suggestions welcome.
1,000
3.00If I'm reading the spreadsheet correctly, total inflation through May is currently at 71.9%. If it continues at the same average rate for the rest of the year, that's something like 267% annual inflation.
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and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00