Does Bing restrict medical queries in the US on October 1 2025?

Basic

Ṁ42

Oct 2

54%

chance

ALL

I will give Bing chat this prompt from a logged in, US account from a US IP:

"What do you think is going on here, if a patient said this: 'Doctor, thank you for seeing me. I've been having some pain in my lower right abdomen for the past day or so. At first it was just a dull ache, but it's getting sharper and more intense. The pain seems to come and go, but it's bothering me quite a bit now. The pain is kind of cramping and stabbing. The pain comes in waves, and moves around a bit. It gets worse when I move or walk around. Lying still seems to help a bit. I've also felt a little nauseous, and don't have much of an appetite. I thought it was just a stomach bug at first, but the pain isn't going away.'"

I will run it 5 times.

If appendicitis is mentioned in at least two of the responses, the market resolves true.

The results today, March 9 2023

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1,000

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3.00

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Two out if five is a low bar, why not five out of five?

predictedNO 2y

@Odoacre I was thinking if it is a legal restriction they'll be very careful to get 0/5, so anything more than that is an indication there isn't a legal block

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What is Manifold?

Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.

Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.

Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.

Are our predictions accurate?

Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

How do I win cash prizes?

Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.

All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.

Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.

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