A plane carrying NVIDIA AI chips for delivery is shot down or crashes under suspicious circumstances by mid 2027
19
Ṁ1978
2027
14%
chance

NVIDIA uses air transport to deliver their chips, due to the time-value.

This is YES if a plane is shot down or crashes or disappears under mysterious circumstances suggesting sabotage or a physical or other type of attack.

The plane must be lost or likely lost/unknown. Simply stopping flights due to threats is not enough. By end of June 30 2027

  • Update 2025-04-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Minimum Chip Requirement: The plane must be carrying at least 1000 chips or an equivalent estimated value.

    • Value Estimate: If the exact chip count is unclear, a rough value estimate (around USD 40 million based on USD 40k per chip) will count.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

What's the threshold for how many chips need to be on board?

@Thomas42 let's say 1000. We may not know the number so a rough value estimate would count also. At 40k each that's 40m USD.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules